With a fresh survey showing him ahead by 5% points over Vice President Kamala Harris, former President Donald Trump’s odds of winning North Carolina significantly improved. According to the most recent Rasmussen Reports poll, which was done with the conservative online journal American Thinker, Trump leads Harris 51% to 46% among Tar Heel State likely voters.
Based on the answers of 1,042 respondents between October 9 and October 14, this most recent survey shows one of Trump’s biggest leads in the state, which might prove to be a pivotal arena in November. With just three weeks until Election Day, North Carolina is becoming a tipping point state capable of influencing the result of the election.
Voters in the poll mostly named border security and the state of the economy as their main worries, a trend that has helped Trump all during the campaign. For 29% of respondents, border security was listed as the top concern; followed closely by inflation and increasing costs at 24%. This sharp emphasis on topics vital to Trump’s agenda indicates the mounting discontent with Harris’s approach of managing important policy domains.
Change is clearly desired by North Carolinians. Remarkably, seventy-seven percent of poll respondents said they really wanted a “major change” from the present government. Voters are gathering behind Trump’s promise of a safer and more wealthy future amid a failing economy and growing crime rates, therefore leaving Harris trying to find footing.
With Trump and Harris deadlocked, a second poll taken between September 28 and October 8 from The Wall Street Journal revealed a considerably smaller contest in North Carolina. But this most recent Rasmussen survey shows a significant change in favor of the former president, implying that Trump’s rallies and emphasis on important topics appeal to voters in the last stretch.
Pollster Mark Mitchell of Rasmussen agreed, saying in an interview with War Room that Harris’s candidacy is in major jeopardy. “She needs an act of God to win, between now and Election Day,” Mitchell said. The decreasing poll results of the vice president serve as a sobering reminder of how far she has dropped from the early days of her campaign, when Democrats sought to use anti-Trump attitude.
This drop in Harris’s support transcends North Carolina. Another important swing state, Pennsylvania, has seen almost perfect tie for more than a month. But Pennsylvania turned in Trump’s favor following the vice-presidential debate, indicating mounting support for his campaign all around. Predicting Trump as the definite favorite to win in many battleground states, betting markets have also followed suit.
The vice president finds it difficult to acquire traction among important groups. Black voters, a group crucial for President Biden’s 2020 triumph, have dropped Harris’s support to 67%, the lowest in her campaign. Her support among white voters with a college degree has also dropped, therefore extending Trump’s road to triumph even more.
Conversely, Trump has strengthened his base and is winning support from people who turned off him during his first term. Based on a recent Fox News poll, 53% of potential voters—a notable improvement from his presidency—now approve of the job Trump performed while in office.
The polling results show Harris’s extreme uphill fight. Trump is starting to lead more widely even in national polls. Other polling companies see comparable patterns; Rasmussen’s national daily tracking poll shows Trump leading Harris 50% to 48%.
Harris’s inability to appeal to the wider voters can cause a disastrous loss. This presents the frightening prospect for Democrats that they might lose the Electoral College in addition to the popular vote.
Trump’s surge in crucial areas like North Carolina marks a sea change in the 2024 race as the clock counts. Harris’s incapacity to persuade important voter blocs and the former president’s capacity to inspire his base have set the vice president on a road toward a perhaps catastrophic loss.
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