Although the majority of polls indicate a close contest in Pennsylvania between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, the vice president seems to be losing support from a significant group of people
According to a bipartisan team’s AARP poll, which was originally obtained by the site, Harris is ahead with 49% of probable voters, compared to 47% for Trump and 2% for the remaining contenders. Furthermore, 3% of participants are still unsure.
This is the first survey that AARP has undertaken in the state since President Joe Biden withdrew from the campaign. It was conducted from September 17 to September 24 via landline, mobile phone, and text-to-web.
Biden’s overall standing in an April survey was down five percentage points. He was down by 1 point among voters between the ages of 18 and 49; now, Harris is ahead by 14. She is already winning independents by nine points, compared to his six. She is also surpassing Biden in the eyes of women, Democrats, people from suburban and rural areas, and even non-college graduates.
But according to the survey, Harris is trailing by 7 points among voters who are 65 and older.
“Older voters are Harris’ greatest vulnerability. She is lagging behind with the largest portion of the electorate, according to Republican pollster Bob Ward, whose company, Fabrizio Ward, participated in the study.
The economics seems to play a big role in why older Americans prefer Trump to Harris. Trump has a 54-point advantage among voters 50 years of age and older who rank inflation and high costs as important issues.
The largest obstacle facing Harris, according to Democratic pollster Jeffrey Liszt, whose company Impact Research worked with Ward’s on the AARP survey, is that Trump’s rating for retroactive job approval is higher than hers. Additionally, he told POLITICO that “the economy is a big piece of that.”
“Having this branding around being a businessman and having been on ‘The Apprentice,’ has been a core strength of Donald Trump’s,” Liszt, whose company conducted polls for VP Harris’ campaign, stated. “His job rating is higher than hers when you consider the work that others believe he completed. That is once more her fundamental weakness and his fundamental strength.
Of the probable voters, 50% think Trump is doing a good job as president, while 49% don’t think so. By contrast, 52% disapprove and 4/5 approve of Harris’s vice presidential performance. Liszt noted that this goes against their individual popularity, with Trump being 7 percentage points less popular than Harris, who is only 3 points less popular.
According to Liszt, two historically Democratic voting blocs who had been dubious of Biden’s candidacy are younger and older Black voters, as well as Harris’s good showing among independents. These are among Trump’s obstacles. In the meanwhile, Ward predicted that Trump would win this election if he “could expand his margins among older voters, particularly older women.”
Following the CBS-moderated event on Tuesday night, left-wing media figures and outlets criticized Minnesota Governor Tim Walz’s debate performance against Senator JD Vance on Wednesday, giving Vice President Kamala Harris’ running partner low grades overall.
Notably, Walz was criticized by CNN’s Abby Phillips, Dana Bash, and Jake Tapper. They all took different stances, saying that he seemed to lack debate preparation or have too much of it and wasn’t fast enough to respond to Vance’s constant barbs at Harris.
Tapper even asserted at one point in the post-debate analysis that Vance is a “much more experienced” debater; Bash suggested this claim might be explained by the lack of media appearances for both Walz and Harris.
While pointing out that Vance was able to deliver a few “punches,” anchor Abby Phillip stated, “I think there was a clear lack of preparation and execution here.”
Bash took a different stance. “I believe he was overly prepared. She remarked, “He was obviously trying to say something with all of his lines.” “I believe that his dearth of interviews—both with local and national media—illustrated his need for more.”
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